Hurricane Dorian: Latest from RMS

  • Current status
    • As of the 15:00 UTC NHC advisory, Dorian is 90 miles east-northeast of Daytona Beach, Florida with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph (Category 2)

  • Possible impacts in the U.S.
    • Although the center of the hurricane is approximately 100 mi (161 km) offshore, tropical storm-force winds are currently impacting coastal locations in central and northern Florida
    • Storm surge is expected to become a concern as the storm parallels the coastline
    • Upwards of 7 inches of rain is expected along coastal portions of the southeast U.S. over the next few days

  • Historical events
    • U.S.: Hurricane Matthew (2016) also followed a similar path along the southeast U.S. coast and would cause $2.3bn in loss on present-day exposure
      • Only one hurricane has ever impacted the Bahamas as a Category 5 (Andrew, 1992), although it did not impact the same islands as Dorian
      • Only four Category 3-4 storms have passed near Grand Bahama/Abaco.
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