Developing a Climate Risk Methodology For The Future

Typhoon Haiyan was the single biggest human catastrophe of 2013

Mott MacDonald and the Coalition for Climate Resilient Investment (CCRI) have launched a pioneering approach that enables asset owners and investors to accurately understand the exposure of critical infrastructure to climate risks.

This type of data is likely to become a greater part of annual balance sheet reporting for major brokers and insurers alike, as regulators demand climate impact projections, green investment ratios and potential resilience outcomes as part of the compliance process. In short, everyone wants stuff to work after major weather events, but how can insurers model those repair and rebuild claims processes?

Developed to address the massive resilience gap in financing, the Physical Climate Risk Assessment Methodology (PCRAM) is a global practitioner’s guide that supplies the practical tools to identify and assess the resilience of infrastructure assets. PCRAM, which is the first of its kind, also clearly demonstrates the positive returns from investment in climate resilient assets that are essential to incentivise and scale up private sector engagement.

Investment in resilience lags well behind the financing of climate mitigation. According to the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI), total spending on climate finance during 2019-2020 reached US$632bn, with mitigation finance accounting for US$571bn compared to just US$46bn on adaptation and resilience; significantly less than what is required to meet the challenges posed by climate change, according to the CPI. 

Carlos Sanchez, Executive Director, Coalition for Climate Resilient Investment, said:

“CCRI delivers rigorous analytical solutions that clearly demonstrate resilient investments are good investments. Strong market forces are pushing the industry towards improved enforcement and reward of these integration practices, translating into opportunities for those that take early action. CCRI analytics offer the potential to drive a more efficient allocation of capital towards climate resilient investments, without which we are unlikely to future-proof our communities for the decades ahead.”

Designed to enhance the financial valuation of investments, instead of minimising losses, PCRAM uses new methodology that gives infrastructure owners and operators the means  to evaluate physical climate risks to infrastructure and analyse their long-term impact on asset performance. This capability ensures climate risk assessment is integral to adapting infrastructure assets – from asset design on day one and through the entire life cycle of the project – leading to significant reductions in the cost of future climate adaptation measures and improvement in the quality of revenue streams. 

For the first time, PCRAM also brings together climate data providers, resilience practitioners, asset managers and investors to assess and quantify physical climate risks. Mott MacDonald tested the methodology on five real-world infrastructure assets, including a nearshore wind farm in South East Asia and a hydropower plant in Africa, with each case delivering a ‘resilience dividend.’ 

Denise Bower, Executive Director at Mott MacDonald, said:

“We set out to create a framework that enable public and private sector infrastructure investors to assess their exposure to climate physical risks, quantify this exposure and improve their asset performance. What we found is that investing in resilience leads to better outcomes, better performance, less downtime, less maintenance and, most importantly, fewer negative impacts on the communities that infrastructure serves. 

“All of this means a higher rate of return for investors and is a powerful tool for building the case for resilience. This is vitally important work. Even if we do manage to limit global warming to 1.5°C, we will still see decades of continued changes to our climate that will result in immense economic shocks and loss of life if we are not prepared.”

About alastair walker 10203 Articles
20 years experience as a journalist and magazine editor. I'm your contact for press releases, events, news and commercial opportunities at Insurance-Edge.Net

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